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The markets have been rocked by news of a possible intervention to control the Japanese yen slump, after it reached a forty-year low relative to the US dollar.
Weeks ago, I speculated that Bitcoin would soon fall to “75,000-ish“. Well, I was awfully close! The low from trading last night matched with literally 99.99% accuracy the Liberation Low from back in April.
The stock market was jolted on Friday following a Wall Street Journal report that Nvidia was reconsidering its massive $100 billion investment in OpenAI.
The COT currency market speculator bets were overall decisively higher this week as ten out of the eleven currency markets we cover had higher positioning while the other one markets had lower speculator contracts.
The price action seen over the course of the past 3 trading days has been nothing short of historic, with the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair sending shockwaves throughout markets.
In the Philippine flood-control corruption scandal, the multibillion-dollar net losses are huge. But without adequate resolution, international pressures could multiply the damage.
USDJPY rose to 154.98 on Monday, with the yen continuing to fall. Pressure on the currency increased after statements by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term.
Market pressure was driven by rising Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar after President Donald Trump appointed Kevin Warsh as the successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
New Census data confirms slower population growth ahead. Business leaders must prepare for lower GDP growth, zero net migration, and shortages of low-skilled labor.
Over the weekend, President Trump suggested that a workable deal with Iran could happen. That reduced fears of war, which had been pushing market prices higher.
Global markets are consolidating after sharp recent moves, with FX seeing an orderly pullback that still looks more like profit-taking than a true reversal.
The dollar has recovered a bit further as gold and silver have plunged, and we think there is enough stability to let data do the talking in FX this week.
China gets most Oil from Iran so they do have an indirect degree of leverage against the United States you don't hear of generally... because they were accumulating Treasuries during far calmer times and distributing 'some' more recently.
On Friday – the day Warsh’s nomination was announced – the dollar, up 0.9 percent, and precious metals gold and silver, down 9.1 percent and 26.9 percent respectively, seemed to be pricing out concerns about Fed independence.
President Trump announced that he will nominate Kevin Warsh to serve as the next chair of the Federal Reserve. The dollar gained 0.8% following the news. Stocks closed lower, with the Nasdaq down roughly 1% and the S&P 500 losing around 0.4%.
While spot silver ETFs remain the simplest method to gain exposure to the metal, aggressive investors often turn to mining ETFs for embedded leverage. Here’s what to know about the Global X Silver Miners ETF and the Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF.
The price action in metals on Friday was one for the record books. Silver plunged by more than 26% and was down over 30% intraday. Gold was not much better. The metal often described as a safe haven or store of value fell by roughly 9%.
Chevron Corp announced a 4.0% dividend per share hike to $7.12 annually on Jan. 30, slightly lower than my expectation of a 5% hike to $7.18. Chevron stock has risen 20% since mid-December. It could be fully valued, as it has reached my price target.
The cryptocurrency market appears to be crashing as we speak, with major losses seen across the board. Cryptocurrency had been on a downtrend since early December. On the last day of January, the situation worsened dramatically.
In spite of the strong market return, consumer sentiment remains at a low level, maybe due to the fact not all consumers enjoy the direct benefit of a rising stock market. However, when sentiment is lower, stock market returns tend to be strong.
The SPX has been unable to make much progress into higher price levels for a couple of months. It seems ready for a price consolidation, which means it is likely time to be a bit cautious towards stock prices in the longer-term.
There has been much discussion, both here and around the world, of the possibility of a flight from the dollar. This has always been a serious risk since Donald Trump took office.
For years, equity markets have leaned on the “Fed Put” – the belief that the central bank would reliably inject liquidity at the first sign of trouble. Warsh, however, is a vocal critic of the Fed’s tendency to “pamper” markets.
With one exception, the trends in December continued in January. Headline business conditions continued to indicate contraction, but at a decelerating rate.
Over the past year, Cenovus Energy has rallied 40.9%, significantly outperforming Enbridge’s 13.9% gain. But does stronger price performance automatically make Cenovus the better stock? Here's a look at the fundamentals of both companies to find out.
The excitement over providing retail access to private equity seems to have turned sour with more skepticism. As the aforementioned excitement built, we talked frequently about not getting wrapped up with illiquid vehicles offering private equity.
This past week, I raised my cash percentage to the highest level since last year's correction. I'm not ready to start pulling the trigger on short positions. But the market's conditions are becoming a lot frothier.
I previously discussed companies that own land and water rights, which will be important to data center build-outs. But it all starts with energy. Without energy, data centers don’t run. The electricity generator to take note of is Black Hills.
Hey, remember quantum computing? That was a sector that was getting a tremendous amount of hype, in spite of no products, no revenues, and certainly no profits. It’s heartening to see sanity return to the world, as these stocks get blown to pieces.
